Here is our Leipzig vs Bayern Prediction as Bayern look to preserve their unbeaten league run.
Round 18 in the Bundesliga sees Bayern Munich travel to the Red Bull Arena to face a resilient RB Leipzig. The Bavarians have looked untouchable so far after dropping only four points all season. However, Leipzig has transformed their home ground into a fortress, winning seven of their eight matches at the Red Bull Arena.
This is a psychological warfare between a Bayern side seeking to kill the competition early and a Leipzig squad desperate to avenge a humiliating 6-0 defeat from earlier this season. Who will achieve their aim? Find out in our full game preview below and remember to check our other Bundesliga predictions.
Leipzig vs Bayern Match Information
- Competition: 2026/26 German Bundesliga (Matchday 18)
- Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, Germany
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 17:30 GMT
Leipzig vs Bayern Odds to Win
Bundesliga bookies have released the official Leipzig vs Bayern odds, and the betting lines are presented below:
- Leipzig to win @ 5.00 (4/1)
- Draw: @ 4.75 (15/4)
- Bayern Munich to win @ 1.55 (11/20)
RBL – FCB: H2H
Bayern Munich has dominated this fixture in the last five encounters with three wins and two draws. While Leipzig managed a high-scoring draw last season, they have struggled to contain the Bavarian frontline in recent outings.
- August 22, 2025: Bayern Munich 6-0 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
- May 3, 2025: RB Leipzig 3-3 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
- December 20, 2024: Bayern Munich 5-1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
- February 24, 2024: Bayern Munich 2-1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
- September 30, 2023: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
Interesting Match Stats
- Bayern Munich remains unbeaten on the road this season, securing six wins and one draw in seven away fixtures while averaging over 3.4 goals per game.
- Leipzig have failed to win any of their last nine home league matches against Bayern Munich, with their last home victory in this fixture dating back to March 2018.
- Bayern Munich has scored at least two goals in each of their last 25 Bundesliga games.
RB Leipzig Team Analysis
Leipzig currently sits 4th in the table with 29 points, boasting an elite defensive record at home where they have conceded just 6 goals all season. Their recent form (W-L-L-W-D) has been patchy. A 2-0 victory over Freiburg on Wednesday helped to steady the ship after successive defeats to Leverkusen and Union Berlin.
Their reverse fixture will still haunt the team after being dismantled 6-1 by Bayern in the season opener. They will strive to avoid the same humiliation in front of home fans this weekend. They’ve lost just one game at the Red Bull this season, enough to instill some confidence.
Leipzig Line-Up Prediction
Assan Ouédraogo is out for several weeks with a patella tendon injury. Lukas Klostermann (infection) and Johan Bakayoko (muscle) are also sidelined.
Possible starting lineup: Gulacsi; Nedeljkovic, Orban, Lukeba, Raum; Schlager, Seiwald, Baumgartner; Maksimovic, Harder, Gomis.
Last 5 Matches: W-L-L-W-W
Bayern Munich Team Analysis
Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich is arguably the most terrifying iteration of the club in years. They occupy 1st place with 47 points from 17 games and have yet to taste defeat. Their tactical identity revolves around suffocating possession (68% average) and verticality, with Michael Olise and Luis Diaz providing devastating width.
Their last five matches (W-W-W-D-W) include an 8-1 destruction of Wolfsburg and a recent 3-1 win at Köln. The narrative this week centers on the return of Jamal Musiala, who is back in the squad after a seven-month injury layoff. While he may not start, his presence adds another layer of fear for the opposition.
The only blemish for Bayern is the loss of Konrad Laimer, who suffered a muscle tear in midweek. His absence could potentially leaves a gap in the defensive transition that Leipzig will look to exploit.
Bayern Line Up Prediction
Konrad Laimer is out with a calf tear, while Nikolas Jackson is still at the AFCON. Jamal Musiala is fit but expected to start on the bench. Meanwhile, Long-term absentees include Stanisic.
Possible starting lineup: Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Ito; Pavlovic, Goretzka; Olise, Gnabry, Diaz; Kane.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-W-D
Leipzig vs Bayern Prediction & Betting Tips
Using recent trends and statistics, here are the best betting picks for our Leipzig vs Bayern prediction:
- Bayern Munich to Win @ 1.55 (11/20) — Despite Leipzig’s strong home record, Bayern’s current form is unparalleled. The Bavarians have a psychological edge following their 6-0 win in August and possess a bench capable of changing any game. Expect Kompany’s side to control the tempo and eventually break down a Leipzig defense that has shown vulnerability against high-pressing teams like Leverkusen.
- Total Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.95 (19/20) — Matches between these two are historically goal-fests, with 6 of the last 8 H2H encounters clearing the 3-goal mark. Bayern is averaging nearly 4 goals per game this season, while Leipzig has cleared “Over 3.5” in three of their last four matches. Interestingly, Bayern under Kompany have gone beyond two goals in all their previous 25 Bundesliga games. This should be an end-to-end affair with plenty of chances that could take the match beyond three goals total.
- Harry Kane to Score Anytime @ 1.70 (7/10) — The Englishman is in a league of his own with 20 Bundesliga goals already this season. Kane thrives in high-stakes matches and has a habit of finding the net against Leipzig’s high defensive line. With Olise and Diaz providing constant service from the flanks, Kane will likely have multiple high-quality opportunities. He has the quality to convert them either from open play or from set pieces.
Final Thoughts & Recommended Leipzig vs Bayern Betting Picks
Bayern Munich’s relentless attacking depth and unbeaten momentum make them the clear favorites to silence the Red Bull Arena. While Leipzig will find the net, they lack the defensive stability to stop the Kane-led onslaught for 90 minutes. Here is our best Leipzig vs Bayern prediction for the Saturday’s Manchester Derby:
✅ Total Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.95 (19/20)
✅ Harry Kane to Score Anytime @ 1.70 (7/10)
Adedayo is the Co-founder and lead analyst at SoccerOrator.com. With 5+ years of experience as a sports writer for major platforms like Betzillion and Eaglespredict, he brings an expert eye to the global betting markets. Formerly a multi-sport analyst covering everything from Tennis to Esports, he now specializes exclusively in European football. He provides weekly, data-backed previews for the EPL, Champions League, and top-flight European leagues, helping bettors find value through rigorous statistical analysis.
