25/26 English FA Cup
Here is our Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction. The oldest football cup competition returns with an all-Premier League clash between Tottenham and Aston Villa in a standout fixture. Spurs enter this fixture in a state of turmoil after languishing in 14th place in the Premier League.
Unai Emery’s Aston Villa is arguably the most efficient unit in English football right now. They sit 3rd in the league and have won 18 of their last 22 matches in all competitions. For Spurs, this trophy represents their final hope for a redemptive season. Can they handle the “red hot” Villans? Read on for a detailed preview, or learn the science of soccer predictions here.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Match Information
- Competition: 2025/26 FA Cup (Round 3)
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, North London, England
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 17:45 GMT
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Odds to Win
English Sportsbooks have released the official Tottenham vs Aston Villa odds, and the betting lines are presented below:
- Home Win (Tottenham): @ 2.45 (3/2)
- Draw: @ 3.60 (13/5)
- Away Win (Aston Villa): @ 2.75 (7/4)
TOT – AVL: H2H
Aston Villa has won six of the last eight meetings across all competitions. Tottenham has not managed a single clean sheet in its last eight encounters with the Villans.
- October 19, 2025: Tottenham 1-2 Aston Villa (Premier League)
- May 16, 2025: Aston Villa 2-0 Tottenham (Premier League)
- February 9, 2025: Aston Villa 2-1 Tottenham (FA Cup R4)
- November 3, 2024: Tottenham 4-1 Aston Villa (Premier League)
- March 10, 2024: Aston Villa 0-4 Tottenham (Premier League)
Interesting Match Stats
- Thomas Frank’s record in the FA Cup is surprisingly poor. His teams have exited the competition in the third round in each of the last three seasons.
- Aston Villa has won nine of its last 14 matches played in London. This makes the capital a happy hunting ground.
- Six of the last seven matchups between these sides have produced over 2.5 goals.
Tottenham Team Analysis
Tottenham is a club currently looking for an identity. Manager Thomas Frank has struggled to implement the same tactical cohesion seen at Brentford. His “drinking out of an Arsenal cup” controversy has done little to win over a skeptical fanbase. The Spurs are averaging a healthy 1.6 goals per game, but they are leaking goals at a catastrophic rate. They’ve conceded 27 in 21 league matches.
The team’s current form is bleak, with just one victory in their previous six. The “missing link” is clearly defensive discipline. Despite the presence of talents like Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven, the high-line system is being exploited weekly. Under fire Thomas Frank would like to save face by targeting a victory on Saturday in front of home fans.
Tottenham Line-Up Prediction
Mohammed Kudus (Quad/Tendon – 3 months), James Maddison (ACL), and Dejan Kulusevski (Knee) are major long-term absences. However, Pape Sarr and Yves Bissouma are away at AFCON.
Possible starting lineup: Kinsky; Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Udogie; Palhinha, Gray; Kolo Muani, Simons, Tel; Richarlison.
Last 5 Matches: L-D-D-W-L
Aston Villa Team Analysis
Aston Villa is a machine built on tactical rigidity and clinical finishing. Unai Emery has optimized this squad to a point where they are genuine title contenders in the league. Villa’s ability to manipulate the offside trap is the best in Europe, and their transition from defense to attack via John McGinn and Youri Tielemans is seamless.
Notably, Villa’s recent form is stellar, with four wins in their last five matches. While they have suffered minor setbacks with a title-race loss to Arsenal, their resilience is unmatched. They have scored 33 goals in the league and show no signs of slowing down. The only “missing link” for Villa this weekend will be the absence of Amadou Onana in midfield, though Emery’s squad depth usually compensates for such losses with ease.
Aston Villa Line Up Prediction
Ross Barkley (Knee) and Amadou Onana (Hamstring) are out, while Evann Guessand is at AFCON. Tyrone Mings and Pau Torres are both 50/50 and will face late fitness tests.
Possible starting lineup: Bizot; Maatsen, Konsa, Lindelof, Cash; Bogarde, Tielemans; McGinn, Rogers, Buendia; Watkins.
Last 5 Matches: D-W-L-W-W
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips
Using recent performances and key statistics, here are the most promising betting picks for our Tottenham vs Aston Villa prediction:
- Aston Villa to Win @ 2.75 (7/4) — Given the contrasting trajectories of these two clubs, the value lies with the visitors. Tottenham is in a state of psychological collapse, while Villa has won 18 of its last 22 games. Thomas Frank has a history of bowing out early in the FA Cup, which could be a psychological blow to Spurs. Therefore, with a depleted Spurs midfield, Emery’s tactics should allow Villa dominate the center of the park and win.
- Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 (2/3) — History suggests goals in this fixture. Six of the last seven meetings have cleared the 2.5-goal line. Spurs cannot help but attack at home, but their defensive high line is a “welcome mat” for a player of Ollie Watkins’ caliber. Expect an open game with plenty of chances on the break.
- Morgan Rogers to Score Anytime @ 3.40 (12/5) — Morgan Rogers has become a threat in this fixture recently, scoring in two of his last three meetings between these sides. His physical presence and ability to strike from distance will be a nightmare for a Spurs defense that is currently struggling with communication and second-ball wins.
Final Thoughts & Recommended Picks
Aston Villa is simply too organized and too confident for a Tottenham side currently searching for answers amid an injury crisis. Expect Emery’s men to punish Spurs on the counter-attack and secure a comfortable passage to the Fourth Round. Here are our best Tottenham vs Aston Villa prediction for the FA Cup this weekend:
✅ Aston Villa to Win @ 2.75 (7/4)
✅ Morgan Rogers to Score Anytime @ 3.40 (12/5)
Adedayo is the Co-founder and lead analyst at SoccerOrator.com. With 5+ years of experience as a sports writer for major platforms like Betzillion and Eaglespredict, he brings an expert eye to the global betting markets. Formerly a multi-sport analyst covering everything from Tennis to Esports, he now specializes exclusively in European football. He provides weekly, data-backed previews for the EPL, Champions League, and top-flight European leagues, helping bettors find value through rigorous statistical analysis.
