Here is our Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction. The crown of the Spanish Supercopa is up for grabs in Jeddah. On Sunday night, the King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah will host the most prestigious fixture in club football: El Clásico. This isn’t just a mid-season exhibition; it is the Supercopa de España Final, a match that historically sets the psychological tone for the rest of the season for the Spanish giants.
Barcelona enters the fray in brilliant form, having dismantled Athletic Bilbao 5-0 in a semi-final masterclass. Meanwhile, Real Madrid showcased their trademark resilience, edging out city rivals Atlético Madrid 2-1 to secure their spot. This final presents both teams the opportunity to land their first piece of silverware of the season. Who will be victorious? Read on for more details, or learn the science of soccer predictions here.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Match Information
- Competition: 2026 Spanish Supercopa de España (Final)
- Venue: King Abdullah Sports City (The Jewel), Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 19:00 GMT on Sunday
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Odds to Win
Spanish Sportsbooks have released the official Barcelona vs Real Madrid odds, and the figures are presented below:
- Home Win (Barcelona): @ 1.95 (19/20)
- Draw: @ 3.90 (26/9)
- Away Win (Real Madrid): @ 3.50 (5/2)
BAR – RMA: H2H
Barcelona has turned the Saudi Arabian soil into a fortress. They’ve won two of the last three Supercopa meetings with Madrid there. However, the most recent official clash saw Madrid take a narrow victory in La Liga.
- October 26, 2025: Real Madrid 2-1 Barcelona (La Liga)
- May 11, 2025: Barcelona 4-3 Real Madrid (La Liga)
- April 26, 2025: Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid (Copa Del Rey)
- January 12, 2025: Real Madrid 2-5 Barcelona (Supercopa Final)
- October 26, 2024: Real Madrid 0-4 Barcelona (La Liga)
Interesting Match Stats
- In the last four Supercopa meetings between these sides, there has been an average of 5.3 goals per game.
- Real Madrid has failed to keep a clean sheet against Barcelona in their last 8 consecutive competitive meetings.
- Hansi Flick’s side is currently on a 9-match winning streak across all competitions, scoring 26 goals in that span.
Barcelona Team Analysis
Barcelona is currently playing with a level of tactical fluidity not seen since the peak Guardiola era. Hansi Flick has successfully integrated a high-pressing, vertical system that prioritizes lightning-fast transitions. Their 5-0 demolition of Athletic Bilbao in the semi-final was a statement of intent to defend their Supercopa title.
The last time Barca lost a game was in November 2025 when they lost to Chelsea. Since then, theyve string nine straight victories across all tournaments. Statistically, Barca is the most potent side in Spain this season, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
Their defense, marshaled by Pau Cubarsí, has matured significantly, but the “missing link” remains their ability to hold a lead against Madrid’s late-game chaos. While they lead the league standings, they will relish the chance to win the Supersopa once again.
Barcelona Line-Up Prediction
Ter Stegen (Knee), Andreas Christensen (ACL), and Gavi (Meniscus) are all confirmed out. Dani Olmo is a major doubt with a shoulder injury, while Ronald Araujo is back in training but unlikely to start.
Possible starting lineup: J. Garcia; Koundé, Cubarsí, E.Garcia, Balde; De Jong, Pedri; Yamal, Fermín López, Raphinha; F.Torres
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-W-W
Real Madrid Team Analysis
Real Madrid under Xabi Alonso has become a more structured, balanced machine, yet they still retain that “DNA” of finding a way to win when under pressure. Their semi-final win over Atlético was a tactical grind, secured by a thunderbolt from Federico Valverde and a late strike from Rodrygo.
Despite their recent 5-match winning streak, injuries have hampered their consistency. Madrid has conceded first in three of their last five matches and relied on individual brilliance to bail them out. The return of their attacking depth could be a boost if Kylian Mbappe is clear to feature. The Los Blancos will intend to avenge their 5-2 loss to Barcelona last year and secure the Supercopa.
Real Madrid Line Up Prediction
Kylian Mbappé (Knee) missed the semi-final but remains doubtful to feature. Antonio Rüdiger (Knee) and Rodrygo (Knock) are both doubtful but expected to push through. Éder Militão and Trent Alexander-Arnold are out.
Possible starting lineup: Courtois; Valverde, Carreras, Huijsen, Mendy; Camavinga, Tchouaméni, Bellingham; Rodrygo, Mbappé, Vinícius Júnior.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-W-W
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Using recent performances and key statistics, here are the most promising options for our Barcelona vs Real Madrid predictions:
- Barcelona To Win @ 2.05 (21/20) — Given Barcelona’s current 9-match win streak and the clinical nature of their 5-0 semi-final win, they are the more cohesive unit heading into Sunday. Real Madrid is currently navigating a defensive injury crisis, and if Rüdiger is not at 100%, Flick’s high-octane attack will exploit the gaps in Madrid’s backline.
- Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.90 (8/9) — The Spanish Super Cup in Saudi Arabia has become synonymous with high-scoring thrillers. With both teams possessing world-class forward lines and neither showing defensive perfection this week, expect an open, expansive game where the back-and-forth nature leads to at least four goals.
- Robert Lewandowski to Score Anytime @ 2.10 (11/10) — Lewandowski is ageing but hasn’t lost his goal-scoring spark. He has scored nine goals this season in 14 La Liga appearances. He has a phenomenal record in tournament finals and could prove lethal once again this weekend. Against a potentially makeshift Real Madrid central defense, his movement and elite finishing make him the most likely candidate to find the net.
Final Thoughts & Recommended Picks
Barcelona’s superior fitness and tactical cohesion under Hansi Flick make them the favorites to retain their title. While Madrid’s “Clásico” pedigree is unmatched, their current injury list in defense will likely be their undoing against a Barca side that is currently scoring for fun. Here are our best Barcelona vs Real Madrid predictions for the Premier League this weekend:
✅ Barcelona to win @ 2.05 (21/20)
✅ Over 3.5 Total Match Goals @ 1.90 (8/9)
Adedayo is the Co-founder and lead analyst at SoccerOrator.com. With 5+ years of experience as a sports writer for major platforms like Betzillion and Eaglespredict, he brings an expert eye to the global betting markets. Formerly a multi-sport analyst covering everything from Tennis to Esports, he now specializes exclusively in European football. He provides weekly, data-backed previews for the EPL, Champions League, and top-flight European leagues, helping bettors find value through rigorous statistical analysis.
