Arsenal welcomes Real Madrid to the Emirates on Tuesday night for the first leg of the UCL 24/25 quarter-final clash. The Gunners cruised into the quarter-finals for a second straight year, netting nine goals past PSV Eindhoven. Meanwhile, defending champions Manchester City had to rely on a tense penalty shootout to overcome fierce rivals Atletico Madrid narrowly.
Interestingly, both teams failed to win their weekend league matches. Arsenal endured a 1-1 draw with Everton, while Madrid lost 2-1 to Valencia at the Bernabéu. Who will get back to winning ways in this game? Our Arsenal vs. Real Madrid UCL predictions guide looks ahead to the clash.
Arsenal vs Real Madrid Match Information
- Competition: 24/25 UEFA Champions League, quarter-finals
- Venue: Emirates Stadium, London, England
- Date: 8 April 2025
- Time: 19:00 GMT on Tuesday
Arsenal vs Real Madrid Odds to Win
Top soccer betting sites have released the latest odds ahead of the Arsenal vs Real Madrid showdown:
- Arsenal to Win @ 2.37 (4/3)
- Draw @ 3.25 (9/4)
- Real Madrid to Win @ 3.10 (19/9)
ARS – RMA: H2H
Real Madrid is yet to defeat Arsenal in any of their meetings in history. The Gunners edge past the Galacticos with a 1-0 aggregate score in the 2006 UCL.
- Real Madrid 2-2 Arsenal (24 July 2019)
- Arsenal 0-0 Real Madrid (8 March 2006)
- Real Madrid 0-1 Arsenal (21 February 2026)
Interesting Match Stats
- Arsenal’s victory against Girona in the league phase makes it five wins in their last seven encounters with Spanish opposition.
- The Gunners last successfully advanced past this stage in 2009, while Real Madrid has claimed the European crown six times since then.
- Real Madrid have emerged victorious in 11 of their last 22 UEFA Champions League knockout ties against English teams.
Arsenal Team Analysis
Arsenal have enjoyed a brilliant Champions League run this season, underlining their European pedigree. They earned 19 points in the league phase, finishing third out of 36 teams. The Gunners beat expectations with seven wins, two draws, and just one defeat. They’ve scored 25 goals and conceded only six, topping the xG against charts with 0.88 per game. Only Inter boasts a better goals conceded average.
Arteta’s men crushed PSV 7-1 in the first leg of their last-16 clash, followed by a comfortable 2-2 home draw to seal qualification. Arsenal are now back in the quarter-finals for the second consecutive year. Memories of their 2006 win over Real Madrid, secured by Henry’s winner, could inspire them again in this quarterfinal clash.
Arsenal Line-Up Prediction
Arsenal remains without Jesus, Havertz, Tomiyasu, Magalhães, and Calafiori, but Timber, White, and Saka returned from injury to feature against Everton. However, Sterling is suspended for this clash.
Possible starting lineup: Raya; White, Saliba, Timber, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Partey, Rice; Saka, Trossard, Martinelli
Last 5 Matches: D-W-W-D-D
Real Madrid Team Analysis
Real Madrid approaches this quarter-final with their trademark belief, though caution remains necessary. They finished 11th in the league phase, collecting 15 points from eight matches. Their group stage performance was less dominant, with five wins and three losses. Madrid scored 20 goals but conceded 12, showing firepower and defensive frailty. In the knockouts, they stunned Manchester City 6-3 on aggregate before edging Atletico Madrid on penalties.
The 15-time European champions remain a formidable force and aim to outclass Arsenal. Although they lost 2-0 to Liverpool earlier this campaign, they’ve still managed four wins in their last eight English away trips. A recent 2-1 home defeat to Valencia adds pressure, but Ancelotti will demand a strong response.
Line Up Prediction
Real Madrid will be without Tchouameni, suspended for yellow card accumulation, and long-term absentees Carvajal and Militao. However, Mendy, Courtois, and Ceballos could return after recent injury concerns.
Possible starting lineup: Courtois; Vazquez, Asencio, Rudiger, Mendy; Valverde, Camavinga; Bellingham, Rodrygo, Vinicius Jr; Mbappe.
Last 5 Matches: L-D-W-W-L
Arsenal vs Real Madrid Betting Tips & Predictions
After examining the key stats and recent trends, here are our top betting tips for the Arsenal vs Real Madrid game:
- Match Result (Draw) @ 3.25 (9/4) odds — Arsenal’s strong European form and home advantage slightly tilt predictions in their favour. Yet, Real Madrid’s elite experience and knockout pedigree remain significant. Arteta’s pressing style faces a true test against Ancelotti’s balanced, counter-attacking tactics. A draw looks likely, especially as Arsenal drew five of their last seven matches. Historically, two of three meetings between both sides also ended level. Both drew their UCL quarter-final first legs in the previous season as well.
- Both Teams To Score—Yes @ 1.90 (8/9) odds – Clean sheets seem very unlikely in this clash as they both have attacking capabilities to find the net. The last three matches of the Gunners in the UCL have ended in both teams scoring. Madrid also boasts this record in three of their previous four UCL fixtures. This record persists in Madrid’s last four matches across tournaments and Arsenal’s last two. So, we expect both teams to score in this game.
- Kylian Mbappe To Score @ 3.10 (19/9) odds – Mbappe has been a key attacking piece in Madrid this season. The Frenchman has scored 22 league goals with seven more in the UCL. He is now officially the penalty taker for the team, increasing his goal-scoring chance in this game. Mbappe will be supported by Bellingham, Vinicius, and Rodygo, which could enable him to find the net on Tuesday night.
Final Thoughts & Recommended Picks
Arsenal’s defensive resilience could see them hold the mighty Madrid to a hard-fought draw on Tuesday. So, here are our best Arsenal vs Real Madrid betting picks ahead of the game.
✅ Match Result (Draw) @ 3.25 (9/4)
✅ Kylian Mbappe To Score @ 3.10 (19/9) odds.
