Real host Atlético in what is expected to be the highlight fixture of this season’s UCL round of 16 clashes. Both sides are locked in a fierce battle for supremacy in La Liga, with Atletico second and Real third in the standings. Now they face in Europe. Can Real secure a positive result at home on Tuesday? Our Real vs Atlético predictions guide looks at possible outcomes for this game.
Real vs Atlético Match Information
- Competition: UEFA Champions League season 2024-25, Round of 16, 1st Leg
- Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
- Date: 4 March 2025
- Time: 20:00 GMT on Tuesday
Real vs Atlético Odds to Win
Here are the latest Real vs Atlético odds for this clash:
- Real Madrid to Win @ 1.91 (10/11)
- Draw @ 3.50 (5/2)
- Atletico Madrid to Win @ 4.15 (19/6)
RMA – ATM: H2H
Both teams have drawn three of their last five matches, claiming one victory each. Interestingly, the last three games between these sides have ended as 1:1 draws.
- Real 1-1 Atletico (08 Feburary 2025)
- Atletico 1-1 Real (29 September 2024)
- Real 1-1 Atletico (04 Feburary 2024)
- Atletico 4-2 Real (18 January 2024)
- Real 5-3 Atletico (01 January 2024)
Interesting Match Stats
- Both teams have scored in their last nine encounters against each other
- Atletico earned direct progression to the round of 16 after finishing fifth during the league phase
- Real has scored 26 goals in 10 Champions League games this season
Real Madrid CF Team Analysis
Los Blancos have endured a rollercoaster season so far. First, they failed to earn a direct qualification to the UCL round of 16 after finishing 11th in the league phase. They climbed to first place in La Liga for weeks and defeated Manchester City during the playoffs. Now, they are third in La Liga, two points behind second-place Atletico and three points behind league leaders Barcelona.
Real will be very cautious as they approach this fixture. They have yet to secure victory against Los Colchoneros in their last three meetings, with all matches ending as draws. Los Blancos will always be in the mix to win this competition as the record titleholders. However, they must be on their A-game to get a result in this fixture.
Line Up Prediction
Dani Cavarjal, Dani Ceballos, Eder Militao, and Jesus Vallejo will not feature due to injuries. Jude Bellingham is out due to suspension.
Possible starting lineup: Courtois; Vazquez, Rudiger, Asencio, Mendy; Tchouaméni, Camavinga; Diaz, Vinicuis, Rodrygo; Mbappe.
Last 5 Matches: L-W-W-W-D
Atlético de Madrid Team Analysis
Atletico has risen in recent weeks, thanks to their consistency in recent games. They are now second in La Liga with 56 points from 26 games. They have scored 43 league goals while conceding 16 times so far. They have also been excellent in the Champions League, scoring 20 times while conceding 12.
Atletico will look to continue their unbeaten run as they head to the Bernabau on Tuesday. If they can keep up their recent performances, they should leave with a positive result.
Line Up Prediction
César Azpilicueta and Koke are out with injuries for this game.
Possible starting lineup: Oblak; Llorente, Galan, Lenglet, Gimenez, Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Lino; Alvarez, Griezmann.
Last 5 Matches: W-D-W-D-D
Real vs Atlético Betting Tips & Predictions
Here are our top Real vs Atlético betting predictions for this match:
- Draw No Bet: Atletico @ 2.87 (13/7)—Games between these rivals consistently deliver intense competition, as evidenced by their recent head-to-head encounters. However, Real finds themselves in poor form, coming off a league defeat to Betis. Atletico recognizes this vulnerability and will aim to capitalize on their opponent’s struggles. Los Colchoneros will likely implement a conservative tactical approach with the second leg still pending. Their disciplined defensive structure should position them well to secure a draw or victory.
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ 1.34 (1/3)—Los Blancos may have one of the best attacks, yet we do not expect them to score many goals in this fixture. Their last three games against Atletico have ended in 1:1 draws. With a second leg yet to come, both teams will cautiously avoid risking it all on Tuesday. So, we expect the total goals to be under 3.5.
- Total Corners: Over 9.5 @ 1.87 (6/7) – With Atletico set to unveil a conservative approach, Real should get a lot of corner kicks in this game. Two of their last three games have ended with this outcome, and we expect a repeat on Tuesday.
Final Thoughts & Recommended Picks
Based on our observations, here are our final Real vs Atlético betting picks:
✅Draw No Bet: Atletico @ 2.87 (13/7)
✅Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ 1.34 (1/3)
Real might be at home; however, based on current form, Atletico will likely get the result on Tuesday. Ensure you check out the soccerorator website for the latest football prediction articles.
