Here is the PSG vs Real Madrid prediction, which previews the chances of two elite European teams in the FIFA Club World semifinals.
The Club World Cup serves up another interesting all-European faceoff on Wednesday as PSG takes on Real Madrid in the second semi-final in New Jersey. Both teams advanced by eliminating German powerhouses in the quarter-finals. Madrid, the competition’s most decorated club, is hungry for redemption after a trophyless season. Can they stop the reigning Champions League winners? Let’s preview the epic clash.
PSG vs Real Madrid Match Information
- Competition: FIFA Club World Cup, Semi-Final
- Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States
- Date: 9 July 2025
- Time: 1:00 GMT on Wednesday
PSG vs Real Madrid Odds to Win
Here is how bookmakers for the FIFA Club World Cup rate the chances of victory for both teams, with the following PSG vs Real Madrid odds:
- PSG to Win @ 2.25 (5/4)
- Draw @ 3.75 (11/4)
- Real Madrid to Win @ 2.90 (17/9)
PSG – BAY: H2H
Both teams have won this fixture twice each and played out a draw once.
- Real Madrid 3-1 PSG (9 March 2022)
- PSG 1-0 Real Madrid (15th February 2022)
- Real Madrid 2-2 PSG (26th November 2019)
- PSG 3-0 Real Madrid (18th September 2019)
- PSG 1-2 Real Madrid (6th March 2018)
PSG vs Real Madrid: Interesting Match Stats
- A 1-0 loss to Botafogo was the only time PSG conceded in this tournament.
- Madrid remained unbeaten under Xabi Alonso in this club World Cup.
- Madrid has won the Club World Cup five times, which is the most of any team, with their most recent win in 2022.
PSG Team Analysis
PSG is now the champion of Europe and is dominant at a global level. They’ve dispatched European giants like Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich en route to the Club World Cup semis. However, their only setback was a narrow 1–0 group-stage loss to Brazil’s Botafogo side. PSG edged Bayern in a fiery clash as previewed here, which saw two red cards and Musiala’s injury.
Desire Doue, the hero of their UCL final, opened the scoring with a composed finish. Despite being reduced to nine men, Ousmane Dembele sealed the win in added time. Manager Luis Enrique, a 2015 winner with Barcelona, now eyes glory with PSG in 2025. Therefore, PSG are favorites to lift the trophy again but must get past Madrid, a record winner of the Club World Cup.
PSG Line-Up Prediction
Ousmane Dembele remains doubtful, with a slight injury concern. Meanwhile, Pacho and Lucas Hernandez will serve their suspension after their red cards against Bayern.
Possible starting lineup: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, Mendes; Neves, Vitinha, Ruiz; Doue, Kvaratskhelia, Dembele
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-L-W
Real Madrid Team Analysis
Real Madrid may have undergone change with Xabi Alonso replacing Carlo Ancelotti, but results remain strong. Despite a slow start with a draw against Al Hilal, Los Blancos are still unbeaten. They topped their group with solid wins over Pachuca and Red Bull Salzburg. That success placed them on the tougher side of the draw in the knockout stage.
However, they overcame Juventus and then edged Borussia Dortmund 3–2 in the quarter-final clash. Early goals from Gonzalo and Fran García gave Madrid control before Mbappé sealed the victory against the German team. Under Alonso’s leadership, the team has displayed great balance, cohesion, and attacking sharpness throughout. Now, Real Madrid marches into the semi-finals with strong momentum and sights set on glory.
Real Madrid Line-Up Prediction
Real Madrid are still without long-term absentees Alaba, Endrick, and Mendy, while Huijsen is suspended. However, Camavinga has returned to training and could feature for the first time in this tournament.
Possible starting lineup: Courtois; Alexander-Arnold, Asencio, Rudiger, F Garcia; Tchouameni, Bellingham, Valverde; Mbappe, G Garcia, Vinicius Junior.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-W-D
PSG vs Real Madrid Betting Tips & Predictions
After carefully analyzing each team’s strengths and form, we now share our top PSG vs Real Madrid tips for this semi-final battle:
- PSG To Win @ 2.30 (4/3) odds — PSG are slight favorites given their impressive form in 2025. Meanwhile, Real Madrid remains a work in progress under new boss Xabi Alonso’s fresh system. That transition could undermine their tenacity against a more settled and confident PSG side. Notably, the Parisians have conceded just once, showing defensive resilience under tournament pressure so far. With that balance, we expect PSG to edge a narrow but hard-fought semifinal victory.
- Total Goals – Over 3.5 @ 2.37 (4/3) odds – Since 2017, PSG and Real Madrid have met six times in goal-filled encounters. Those clashes have averaged over three goals, with recent meetings producing even more drama. Notably, two of their last three duels ended with four goals shared between them. PSG’s pacey frontline and Madrid’s sharp transitions make for a fast, open contest. With both teams’ relentless tempo and attacking talents, we expect a goal-fest fixture that will likely produce more than three goals.
- Gonzalo Garcia To score Anytime @ 3.10 (19/9) odds – Gonzalo Garcia is enjoying a breakout moment in this tournament. The youngster has scored four goals to lead the Golden Boot race. Remarkably, three of those strikes were openers, showing his knack for early breakthroughs. He thrives around the box and likes to exploit spaces before defenses. Garcia’s clever movement between the lines disrupts the structure and invites quick, precise finishes from range. With PSG’s high line vulnerable, Garcia remains the likeliest to get in the scoresheet in New Jersey.
Final Thoughts & Recommended PSG vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
To wrap up our PSG vs Real Madrid prediction, these are the best FIFA Club World Cup betting picks:
✅ PSG To Win @ 2.30 (4/3) odds
✅ Gonzalo Garcia To score Anytime @ 3.10 (19/9) odds.
This will be a keenly contested affair, but PSG’s resilience could give them an edge over an injury-ridden Madrid. Use our PSG vs Real Madrid prediction to bet on bookmakers in the United States, and check back for more tips like this.
Adedayo is the Co-founder and lead analyst at SoccerOrator.com. With 5+ years of experience as a sports writer for major platforms like Betzillion and Eaglespredict, he brings an expert eye to the global betting markets. Formerly a multi-sport analyst covering everything from Tennis to Esports, he now specializes exclusively in European football. He provides weekly, data-backed previews for the EPL, Champions League, and top-flight European leagues, helping bettors find value through rigorous statistical analysis.
