Paris Saint-Germain took a slender advantage into their semi-final second leg against Arsenal. Ousmane Dembélé’s early goal secured PSG’s first-ever win over the Gunners. That narrow 1-0 triumph in the PSG vs Arsenal at the Emirates puts the French champions within reach of their second Champions League final.
With home support at Parc des Princes, PSG will aim to finish the job against a determined Arsenal side. Who will pull through in Paris? Our PSG vs Arsenal preview looks ahead to this decisive game.
PSG vs Arsenal UCL Semi-Final Match Information
- Competition: UEFA Champions League, Semi-Final, 2nd Leg
- Venue: Parc Des Princes, Paris, France
- Date: 7th May 2025
- Time: 19:00 GMT on Wednesday
PSG vs Arsenal Odds to Win
The latest betting odds for PSG vs Arsenal are as follows, with the semi-final clash drawing closer:
- PSG to Win @ 2.05 (1/1)
- Draw @ 3.60 (13/5)
- Arsenal to Win @ 2.40 (7/5)
PSG – ARS: H2H
PSG’s first victory over the Gunners came last week, with Arsenal claiming two wins and two draws in their past five meetings.
- Arsenal 0-1 PSG (29th April 2025)
- Arsenal 2-0 PSG (1st October 2024)
- Arsenal 5-1 PSG (28th July 2018)
- Arsenal 2-2 PSG (23rd November 2016)
- PSG 1-1 Arsenal (13th September 2016)
Interesting Match Stats
- Both teams have yet to win the UCL title, but they’ve reached the final once in their history.
- Bukayo Saka’s 9 goals and six assists in 16 UCL games are the most by an English player in their first two seasons.
- This is the third English opposition PSG will face in the UCL playoffs this season, having previously eliminated Liverpool and Aston Villa.
PSG Team Analysis
PSG are eyeing a third English scalp en route to a possible Champions League final. After a disappointing group stage, they smashed Brest 10-0 in the knockout play-offs. In the last 16, they overturned a 1-0 first-leg loss to Liverpool, advancing via penalties.
The Parisians edged past Aston Villa in the quarters, surviving a second-leg scare. Now ahead after Dembele’s goal at Arsenal, the French champion hopes to complete the job in Paris. Notably, PSG has progressed in 18 of 19 UEFA ties when winning the away first leg.
PSG Line-Up Prediction
Dembele is recovering from a hamstring strain sustained at the Emirates but remains doubtful for leg two. However, Kang-in Lee is ruled out after his injury over the weekend.
Possible starting lineup: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Pacho, Marquinhos, Mendes; Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves; Doue, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia.
Last 5 Matches: L-W-L-D-W
Arsenal Team Analysis
Following another disappointing 2-1 defeat to Bournemouth, Arsenal must refocus on Tuesday’s UCL clash. They aim to overturn a 1-0 first-leg loss to Luis Enrique’s side. Historically, only two teams have advanced after losing a home semi-final. Encouragingly, Arsenal are unbeaten in seven consecutive away matches across all competitions.
Our Arsenal vs. PSG prediction for the first leg leans towards the Gunners’ victory, but the Arteta boys are now the underdog for the second leg. Their recent struggles and missed chances have shifted momentum to PSG. Despite creating 1.6 xG last week, which is the highest among semi-finalists, they failed to score. To stay in contention, Arteta’s side must sharpen their finishing. Clinical execution in front of the goal is essential if they hope to reach the final.
Line Up Prediction
Partey returns from suspension to anchor midfield, but Timber requires assessment. Due to lingering injury concerns, Arsenal remain without Jorginho, Jesus, Havertz, Magalhaes, Tomiyasu, and Calafiori.
Possible starting lineup: Raya; White, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Partey, Rice, Odegaard; Saka, Merino, Martinelli
Last 5 Matches: L-L-D-W-W
PSG vs Arsenal Betting Tips & Predictions
Having reviewed both teams closely, these are the PSG vs Arsenal tips we’re backing:
- PSG To Win @ 2.05 (1/1) odds — Arsenal’s lack of a natural striker proved costly in the first-leg defeat. Despite posting the highest xG (1.6) of all semifinalists, they remain the only team that didn’t score in that round. That inefficient attack makes the Paris return leg more difficult. PSG, meanwhile, are fresher after resting key players last weekend and have already eliminated two English sides. On home turf, the French champions are well-placed to secure another victory on Wednesday.
- Both Teams To Score @ 1.53 (1/2) odds – PSG and Arsenal rank among this season’s highest scorers in the Champions League, netting 31 and 30 goals respectively. Both teams have scored in six of PSG’s last seven matches. Similarly, three of the previous five meetings saw goals at both ends. A repeat outcome seems likely in their upcoming clash.
- Highest Scoring Half – First Half @ 3.00 (2/1) odds – Arsenal have scored 30 goals in 12 Champions League games, often striking early. Impressively, 75% of their group-stage goals came before halftime. In October, the Gunners’ 2-0 win over PSG also saw both goals early. PSG’s lone goal in the 1st leg also came earlier in the 4th minute. The host will push early to extend their lead, while Arsenal will aim to get back in the game quickly. So, we expect first-half actions and more half-time goals.
Final Thoughts & Recommended PSG vs Arsenal Betting Tips
To round up our PSG vs Arsenal UCL predictions, look at our favorite UCL betting tips ahead of the encounter.
✅ PSG To Win @ 2.05 (1/1) odds
✅ Highest Scoring Half – First Half @ 3.00 (2/1) odds
Arsenal’s wastefulness in the first leg makes the efficient PSG the favorite to win in Paris. Leverage our Champions League prediction to stake on bookmakers and come back for more tips like this.
