Here is our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction as Los Blancos aim to reclaim the La Liga title from rival Barcelona.
Real Madrid welcomes a rejuvenated Real Sociedad to the Santiago Bernabéu this weekend. With league leaders Barcelona not in action until Monday, Álvaro Arbeloa’s side has a golden opportunity to leapfrog their rivals and seize the top spot.
Madrid enters the fray on the back of a tough 2-0 win at the Mestalla. They now face a “Txuri-Urdin” squad transformed under new management. The visitors have not tasted defeat in the league since mid-December. Will Real Sociedad’s unbeaten streak continue at the Bernabeu? Let’s preview the encounter. You can also learn the science of soccer prediction to make informed decisions.
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Match Information
- Competition: 2025/26 Spanish La Liga (Round 24)
- Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid, Spain
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 20:00 GMT
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Odds to Win
Bookmakers in Spain have released the official Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad odds, and the betting lines are set as follows:
- Real Madrid to Win: @ 1.40 (2/5)
- Draw: @ 5.60 (23/5)
- Real Sociedad to Win: @ 7.75 (27/4)
RMA – RSO: H2H
Real Madrid has won the last five league meetings with Sociedad and conceded just twice in that span.
- Sep 13, 2025: Real Sociedad 1-2 Real Madrid (La Liga)
- May 24, 2025: Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad (La Liga)
- Apr 01, 2025: Real Madrid 4-4 Real Sociedad (Copa del Rey – Madrid won on pens)
- Feb 26, 2025: Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid (Copa del Rey)
- Sep 14, 2024: Real Sociedad 0-2 Real Madrid (La Liga)
Interesting Match Stats
- Real Madrid boasts a near-perfect home record this season, collecting 30 points from 11 matches.
- Since Pellegrino Matarazzo took charge in December, Real Sociedad has been unbeaten in 6 matches, including a statement 2-1 victory over Barcelona.
- Kylian Mbappé has already netted 38 goals across all competitions this season. He has scored in 4 of his last 5 appearances against Basque opposition.
Real Madrid Team Analysis
Life under Álvaro Arbeloa has been characterized by efficiency and resilience. Despite being plagued by injuries to the spine of the team, Madrid sits 2nd in La Liga with 57 points, just one behind Barcelona. Tactically, Arbeloa has leaned into a flexible 4-3-3 that transitions into a 4-4-2 diamond. This is to accommodate the creative freedom of Arda Güler and Vinícius Júnior.
The “missing link” for the current squad is defensive depth. With Militão out and young Raúl Asencio just returning from illness, the backline has looked vulnerable to high-pressing teams. However, their league-best goal difference (+31) suggests that their firepower usually masks any defensive fragility.
Real Madrid Line-Up Prediction
A common question among many Madridistas is: Will Mbappé play against Real Sociedad? However, the team’s highest goal scorer has been declared fit after a knee scare. Meanwhile, Jude Bellingham and Éder Militão remain sidelined.
Possible starting lineup: Courtois; Cavajal, Asencio, Rüdiger, Carreras; Valverde, Tchouaméni, Camavinga; Arda Güler, Mbappé, Vinícius Júnior.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-L-W-W
Real Sociedad Team Analysis
Real Sociedad arrives in Madrid as the league’s “form team” outside of the top two. Currently 8th with 31 points, their position belies their recent performances. Pellegrino Matarazzo has shifted the team to a more aggressive, vertical style that prioritizes winning the ball back in the middle third.
The Basque side has shown incredible grit, securing results in three of their last six matches despite being reduced to 10 men. Real Sociedad’s unbeaten streak so far in 2026 has been a notable improvement on their performance in the first half of the season.
However, their “missing link” has been a lack of consistency against the “Big Three”. While they beat Barca at home, they have struggled to find the same clinical edge at the Bernabéu, where they haven’t won since 2019.
Real Sociedad Line Up Prediction
Sociedad will be without the suspended Brais Méndez and the injured Takefusa Kubo.
Possible starting lineup: Remiro; Aramburu, Zubeldia, Jon Martín, Munoz; Turrientes, Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler; Gomez, Oyarzabal, Marin.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-D-W
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips
Using recent performances and key statistics, here are the most promising betting picks for our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction:
- Match Outcome: Real Madrid to Win @ 1.40 (2/5) — While Sociedad is in peak form, the Bernabéu factor is undeniable. Madrid has won 10 of 11 home games this season and possesses too much individual quality in Mbappé and Vinícius for a depleted Sociedad defense to contain for 90 minutes. Also, the Los Blancos haven’t lost to Real Sociedad at home since 2019. Therefore, we expect Madrid to halt Real Sociedad’s unbeaten streak.
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.62 (8/13) — Historically, this fixture is tightly contested in the capital. Eight of the last nine H2H meetings have seen under 3.5 goals. With Madrid keeping an eye on their upcoming Champions League clash with Benfica, they may look to control the game and preserve energy once they have a lead.
- Kylian Mbappé to Score Anytime @ 1.85 (17/20) — Mbappé is chasing the Pichichi trophy with 23 league goals already. Having been declared fully fit following his knee discomfort, he will be the focal point of every Madrid attack. His explosive pace is the perfect weapon against Sociedad’s high-line defensive transition.
Final Thoughts & Recommended Picks
Real Madrid’s depth and home dominance make them the overwhelming favorites to take the three points and move to the top of the table. While Real Sociedad will remain competitive through Matarazzo’s tactical discipline, the absence of Kubo and Méndez leaves them lacking the creative spark needed to stun the Bernabéu. Here are our best Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad La Liga Round 24 predictions:
✅ Real Madrid to Win @ 1.40 (2/5)
✅ Kylian Mbappé to Score Anytime @ 1.85 (17/20)
Adedayo is the Co-founder and lead analyst at SoccerOrator.com. With 5+ years of experience as a sports writer for major platforms like Betzillion and Eaglespredict, he brings an expert eye to the global betting markets. Formerly a multi-sport analyst covering everything from Tennis to Esports, he now specializes exclusively in European football. He provides weekly, data-backed previews for the EPL, Champions League, and top-flight European leagues, helping bettors find value through rigorous statistical analysis.
