Here is our PSG vs Newcastle Prediction, as Paris Saint-Germain welcomes Newcastle United to the Parc des Princes for a decisive Round 8 showdown.
This game is a direct fight for a top-eight finish to secure automatic qualification for the Round of 16. PSG enters the fray following a narrow 1-0 victory over Auxerre, while Newcastle is looking to bounce back from a disappointing 2-0 domestic loss to Aston Villa. With both sides currently tied on 13 points, the stakes are high.
We expect a tough battle as the reigning UCL champions look to avenge their inconsistent European form against Eddie Howe’s resilient Magpies. Here is where we discuss what to expect from the matchup as part of our routine Champions League Predictions.
PSG vs Newcastle Match Information
- Competition: UEFA Champions League (League Phase, Round 8)
- Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris, France
- Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
- Time: 20:00 GMT
PSG vs Newcastle Odds to Win
Here are the most recent PSG vs. Newcastle odds from European sportsbooks before we share our UCL betting tips:
- PSG to win @ 1.55 (11/20)
- Draw: @ 4.33 (10/3)
- Newcastle to win @ 5.50 (9/2)
PSG – NUFC: H2H
Their recent UCL meetings were in 2023, where Newcastle won at home and drew in Paris.
- Nov 28, 2023: PSG 1-1 Newcastle (UCL)
- Oct 04, 2023: Newcastle 4-1 PSG (UCL)
Newcastleesting Match Stats
- PSG have scored in 42 consecutive home matches in their domestic league, and they have won five of their last six home games across all competitions.
- The Magpies have struggled for consistency away from St. James’ Park this season, managing only 2 wins in 10 recent away games across all competitions.
- PSG is averaging 2.9 goals per match in the Champions League this season, the highest in the top ten of the league phase.
Paris Saint-Germain Team Analysis
Luis Enrique’s PSG side is a possession-heavy side that has finally started to click after a rocky start to the winter. Currently sitting 6th in the UCL standings, they have been particularly dominant at the Parc des Princes. Enrique’s tactical blueprint relies on high-pressing and the rapid movement of Ousmane Dembélé, who is in the form of his life after being awarded the Ballon d’Or.
Recent form shows three wins in their last five, though a 2-1 defeat to Sporting CP highlighted a vulnerability to counter-attacks. With 19 goals scored in the competition, their attack is fearsome. However, a dilemma for Luis Enrique remains getting a consistent defensive partner for Marquinhos to ensure they don’t leak goals in transition.
PSG are the UCL title holders after a brilliant 5-0 overrun of Inter last year to win it for the first time. They will strive to secure the automatic qualification on Wednesday, as they host a team that also needs the victory.
PSG Line-Up Prediction
PSG has been handed a massive boost with the return of Achraf Hakimi and Lucas Hernández to training. Meanwhile, Matvey Safonov (hand) and Fabian Ruiz (knee) are out, while Lee Kang-in (thigh) is doubtful, and Joao Neves (muscle contusion) may also miss out.
Possible starting lineup: Chevalier; Zaire-Emery, Marquinhos, Pacho, Hernandez; Mayulu, Vitinha, Mbaye; Doue, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia.
Last 5 Matches: W-L-W-L-W
Newcastle Team Analysis
Eddie Howe has transformed Newcastle into a European mainstay, currently sitting 7th in the UCL standings. Despite a recent 2-0 loss to Aston Villa, the Magpies have shown they can go toe-to-toe with elite clubs. They have already recorded a historic win against PSG in the previous season and will be inspired by that victory this midweek.
Newcastle’s game plan is built on the tireless engine of Bruno Guimarães and the explosive pace of Anthony Gordon. While they have been defensively solid (conceding only 1.26 goals per game), their away record is the major concern. Their main weakness this season has been converting draws into wins on the road.
The Magpies often dominate long stretches but have lacked the clinical edge in hostile environments since the sale of Alexander Isak to Liverpool last summer. They will strive for a memorable win in Paris in a bid to get a straight passage to the last 16.
Newcastle Line Up Prediction
Newcastle remains without Lascelles, Shar, and Murphy. However, Guimares, Joelinton, and Livramento remain major doubts.
Possible starting lineup: Pope; Trippier, Burn, Botman, Hall; Miley, Tonali, Joelinton; Barnes, Wissa, Gordon.
Last 5 Matches: D-W-L-L-D
PSG vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips
Considering each team’s latest results, we’ve identified the following as the strongest PSG vs Newcastle prediction:
- PSG to Win @ 1.55 (11/20) — The Parisians are a different beast at home. With the psychological boost of having Hakimi back and Dembélé playing at a world-class level, PSG should have enough firepower to overwhelm Newcastle’s defense. Newcastle’s poor away form (only 2 wins in 11) makes it hard to see them taking all three points at the Parc des Princes.
- Over 2.5 Total Goals @ 1.65 (13/20) — Both teams have clear attacking identities. PSG averages nearly 3 goals per game in the UCL, and Newcastle’s Yoane Wissa and Anthony Gordon are always a threat on the break. Given that both teams are fighting for the top-eight spot, an early goal will likely force the game open. This could in turn lead to a high-scoring affair.
- Ousmane Dembélé to Score or Assist @ 1.65 (13/20) — Dembélé has found the net in each of his last four starts and is the creative hub of Enrique’s system. Facing a Newcastle left-back in Lewis Hall who likes to roam forward, Dembélé will find ample space to exploit. Therefore, he is most likely to either finish the move or provide for the likes of Kvaratskhelia.
Final Thoughts & Recommended PSG vs Newcastle Betting Picks
PSG’s home advantage and superior depth in the final third make them the clear favorites to secure their place in the Round of 16. While Newcastle will provide a physical challenge, the clinical nature of this PSG squad under the lights in Paris should prevail. Here are our most rated PSG vs Newcastle predictions:
✅ PSG to Win @ 1.55 (11/20)
✅ Ousmane Dembélé to Score or Assist @ 1.65 (13/20)
Adedayo is the Co-founder and lead analyst at SoccerOrator.com. With 5+ years of experience as a sports writer for major platforms like Betzillion and Eaglespredict, he brings an expert eye to the global betting markets. Formerly a multi-sport analyst covering everything from Tennis to Esports, he now specializes exclusively in European football. He provides weekly, data-backed previews for the EPL, Champions League, and top-flight European leagues, helping bettors find value through rigorous statistical analysis.
