Here is our Dortmund vs Bayern Prediction as Signal Iduna Park prepares for Der Klassiker this Saturday.
Bayern Munich sits at the top with 60 points, but Borussia Dortmund is breathing down its neck in second place with 52 points. A home win slashes the lead to five and ignites the title race. Meanwhile, an away win effectively hands the Meisterschale to the Bavarians.
While Bayern has been scoring freely this season, Dortmund remains the only team in the league yet to taste defeat on its own turf. Who will claim the maximum points this weekend? Let’s dissect each team’s chances for victory. You can also learn the science of soccer prediction to make informed decisions.
Dortmund vs Bayern Match Information
- Competition: 2025/26 German Bundesliga (Matchday 24)
- Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany
- Date: Saturday, 28th February 2026
- Time: 17:30 GMT
Dortmund vs Bayern Odds to Win
Sportsbooks in Germany have released the official Dortmund vs Bayern odds, and the betting lines are set as follows:
- Dortmund to Win: @ 4.70 (37/10)
- Draw: @ 4.85 (77/20)
- Bayern to Win: @ 1.67 (4/6)
BVB – BAY: H2H
In their last 5 competitive meetings, Bayern has won twice, Dortmund once, and 2 matches have ended in draws.
- 18 Oct 2025: Bayern Munich 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
- 12 Apr 2025: Bayern Munich 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
- 30 Nov 2024: Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Bayern Munich
- 30 Mar 2024: Bayern Munich 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
- 04 Nov 2023: Borussia Dortmund 0-4 Bayern Munich
Interesting Match Stats
- Dortmund is the only Bundesliga side still unbeaten at home this season, while Bayern is the only side unbeaten away from home.
- Bayern Munich has already scored 85 goals in 23 matches, a record-breaking pace for the Bundesliga.
- Both teams are the only clubs in Europe’s top five leagues (alongside Barcelona) to have scored in every single league match so far this season.
Dortmund Team Analysis
Dortmund currently sit 2nd in the league with 52 points, remaining the closest rival to Bayern. They are on a 16-game unbeaten run in the Bundesliga. However, they enter this clash bruised by a midweek 4-1 collapse against Atalanta, which saw them exit the Champions League.
Tactically, Kovač has tightened the backline, conceding only 22 goals all season (the second-best in the league). At home, they have conceded just 8 goals in 11 games. Despite this, the “missing link” for Dortmund remains their inability to convert draws into wins against top-tier opposition.
Their last outing was a 2-2 stalemate against Leipzig, where they led twice but couldn’t close the door. The host must avoid a similar outing on Saturday to close the gap to the league leaders, Bayern.
Dortmund Line-Up Prediction
Julian Ryerson is suspended, while Niklas Süle and Filippo Mane remain injured. However, Nico Schlotterbeck is fit to start.
Possible starting lineup: Kobel; Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini; Couto, Bellingham, Nmecha, Svensson; Adeyemi, Brandt; Guirassy.
Last 5 Matches: L-D-W-W-W
Bayern Team Analysis
Under Vincent Kompany, Bayern Munich is playing a terrifying brand of “total football.” With 60 points and a staggering +64 goal difference, the Bavarians look nearly invincible. They arrive in Dortmund on a four-match winning streak. The Bavarians’ most recent performance was a 3-2 dispatching of Frankfurt.
Kompany’s high-pressing system relies on the clinical nature of Harry Kane, who already has 28 league goals. Bayern’s away record is frightening, with 37 goals scored in just 11 road trips. However, the high line remains a gamble.
They have conceded in several recent matches. Therefore, the potential absence of Manuel Neuer could leave them vulnerable to Dortmund’s rapid transitions led by Adeyemi and Guirassy. Bayern will strive to avoid a defeat at the Signal Iduna Park to maintain an eleven-point cushion at the league summit.
Bayern Line Up Prediction
Alphonso Davies and Manuel Neuer will miss the Der Klassiker through injury.
Possible starting lineup: Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Stanisic; Kimmich, Pavlovic; Olise, Musiala, Diaz; Kane.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-W-D
Dortmund vs Bayern Prediction & Betting Tips
Using recent performances and key statistics, here are the most promising betting picks for our Dortmund vs Bayern prediction:
- Bayern Munich To Win @ 1.67 (4/6) — While Dortmund’s home record is flawless, Bayern is operating on a different tactical plane under Kompany. The Bavarians have not lost a league game at the Signal Iduna Park since 2018. Considering Dortmund’s demoralising 4-1 European defeat on Wednesday. Bayern’s fresh legs give them the psychological and physical edge to silence the Yellow Wall.
- Total Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.86 (6/7) — This is a statistical lock. Both teams have scored in every Bundesliga game this season. Bayern averages nearly 3.7 goals per game and has seen more than three goals in three of its last five games. Meanwhile, Dortmund need to win to stay in the title race. Therefore, they could leave gaps that Harry Kane and Luis Diaz are far too clinical to ignore. So, we expect more than three goals on Saturday.
- Serhou Guirassy to Score Anytime @ 2.35 (27/20) — Dortmund’s talisman has been remarkably consistent with eleven Bundesliga goals this campaign. Bayern is renowned for playing a notoriously high defensive line and missing the veteran presence of Manuel Neuer. We expect Guirassy’s movement and finishing in the box to create chances for the hosts to find the net.
Final Thoughts & Recommended Picks
Bayern Munich’s historic scoring rate and superior squad depth should see them overcome a fatigued Dortmund side struggling to bounce back from European disappointment. While BVB will find the net, the Bavarians simply have too much firepower for the title race to stay open. Here are our recommended Dortmund vs Bayern predictions:
✅ Bayern Munich To Win @ 1.67 (4/6)
✅ Serhou Guirassy to Score Anytime @ 2.35 (27/20)
Adedayo is the Co-founder and lead analyst at SoccerOrator.com. With 5+ years of experience as a sports writer for major platforms like Betzillion and Eaglespredict, he brings an expert eye to the global betting markets. Formerly a multi-sport analyst covering everything from Tennis to Esports, he now specializes exclusively in European football. He provides weekly, data-backed previews for the EPL, Champions League, and top-flight European leagues, helping bettors find value through rigorous statistical analysis.
