Here is our Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction as Mikel Arteta aims for his first final appearance in any competition since his FA Cup triumph in 2020.
The tension will be high at the Emirates Stadium this Tuesday as the North London derby flavor takes center stage. In this decisive EFL Cup Semifinal 2nd Leg, Arsenal enters as the aggressor, holding a slim 3-2 aggregate lead after a chaotic first leg at Stamford Bridge.
While Mikel Arteta’s Gunners are flying high at the top of the Premier League, Liam Rosenior’s Chelsea has found a new lease on life, winning six of their last seven matches. With a spot at Wembley on the line, it will be an interesting watch with huge opportunities for betting picks. Our Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction preview of the derby.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Match Information
- Competition: 2025/26 EFL Cup (Semi-Final, 2nd Leg)
- Venue: Emirates Stadium, London, England
- Date: Tuesday, 3rd February 2026
- Time: 20:00 GMT
Arsenal vs Chelsea Odds to Win
English Sportsbooks have released the official Arsenal vs Chelsea odds, and the betting lines are set as follows:
- Arsenal to Win: @ 1.62 (8/13)
- Draw: @ 3.80 (14/5)
- Chelsea to Win: @ 4.50 (7/2)
ARS – CHE: H2H
Arsenal has dominated this rivalry in recent years, maintaining a nine-game unbeaten streak against the Blues. However, the first leg proved that Chelsea can breach the Gunners’ backline when the game turns into a shootout.
- Jan 14 2026: Chelsea 2-3 Arsenal (EFL Cup)
- 30 Nov 2025: Arsenal 1-1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 16 Mar 2025: Chelsea 1-0 Arsenal (Premier League)
- 10 Nov 2024: Arsenal 1-1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 23 Apr 2024: Chelsea 5-0 Arsenal (Premier League)
Interesting Match Stats
- Arsenal have won their last three home meetings against Chelsea by a staggering aggregate score of 9-1.
- Chelsea have progressed from three of their last four EFL Cup semi-finals when losing the first leg.
- Six of Arsenal’s last seven matches across all competitions have seen over 3.5 goals.
Arsenal Team Analysis
Mikel Arteta has his side functioning like a well-oiled machine, currently leading the Premier League by six points. Their 4-0 demolition of Leeds United over the weekend served as a perfect warm-up. Tactically, the Gunners rely on the midfield control of Martin Ødegaard and the summer signing Viktor Gyökeres, who is gradually coming up to life at the Emirates with 11 goals this season.
However, the “missing link” for Arsenal remains their recent home cup form; they were dumped out at this exact stage last year by Newcastle. While they are favorites, a 3-2 lead is famously “the most dangerous scoreline,” and any drop in intensity could see their Wembley dreams evaporate.
Arsenal Line-Up Prediction
Arsenal faces a nervous wait on Bukayo Saka, who felt a niggle in his hip during the Leeds warm-up. Mikel Merino is out for the long term following foot surgery.
Possible starting lineup: Arrizabalaga; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori; Zubimendi, Rice, Ødegaard; Madueke, Gyökeres, Martinelli.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-L-W-D
Chelsea Team Analysis
Under the guidance of Liam Rosenior, Chelsea has become one of the most unpredictable teams in England. They arrive at the Emirates following a pulsating 3-2 comeback victory over West Ham. Rosenior has instilled a high-risk, high-reward system that utilizes the pace of Pedro Neto and the clinical poaching of Alejandro Garnacho, who netted twice in the first leg.
Despite their resurgence, Chelsea’s “missing link” is defensive consistency on the road. They have kept only one clean sheet in their last ten away fixtures. This stat doesn’t bode well for a side facing an Arsenal side that hasn’t failed to score at home in over a year. To progress, they must find a way to silence the Emirates and crowd early.
Chelsea Line Up Prediction
Chelsea is still missing Lavia, Colwill, and Tosin Adarabioyo with injuries, while Jamie Gittens remains doubtful.
Possible starting lineup: Sánchez; James, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernández; Neto, Palmer, Garnacho; Pedro.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-W-W
Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips
Using recent performances and key statistics, here are the most Promising betting picks for our Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction:
- Arsenal to Win @ 1.62 (8/13) — While Chelsea is in great form, the Emirates has become a graveyard for visiting teams. Arsenal’s tactical maturity and the 3-2 aggregate cushion allow them to bait Chelsea into overextending. With Gyökeres in great form, the Gunners should secure their ninth EFL Cup final appearance come Tuesday.
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72 (8/11) — The first leg was a five-goal thriller, and there is little evidence to suggest a cagey affair here. Considering Chelsea needs at least one goal to have any hope, and Arsenal has seen over 3.5 goals in their recent matches. Five of Arsenal’s six matches have followed that trend. This suggests that the “Over 2.5” market is a haven for bettors.
- Viktor Gyökeres to Score Anytime @ 2.10 (11/10) — The Swedish striker has six goal involvements in his last six games. Notably, Chelsea has a high defensive line and propensity for individual errors in the back four. Therefore, Gyökeres’ physicality and intelligent movement make him the prime candidate to score.
Final Thoughts & Recommended Picks
Arsenal’s domestic dominance and psychological edge over Chelsea make them the heavy favorites to advance. Expect Chelsea to put up a fight early on, but the Gunners’ superior squad depth and home-field advantage will likely see them through to Wembley. Here is our best Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction for the London Derby this week:
✅ Arsenal to Win @ 1.62 (8/13)
✅ Viktor Gyökeres to Score Anytime @ 2.10 (11/10)
Adedayo is the Co-founder and lead analyst at SoccerOrator.com. With 5+ years of experience as a sports writer for major platforms like Betzillion and Eaglespredict, he brings an expert eye to the global betting markets. Formerly a multi-sport analyst covering everything from Tennis to Esports, he now specializes exclusively in European football. He provides weekly, data-backed previews for the EPL, Champions League, and top-flight European leagues, helping bettors find value through rigorous statistical analysis.
