Sunday brings us the first El Clásico of the season as Barcelona makes a short trip to the Bernabéu to clash with Real Madrid. Both sides met four times last season, and Barcelona won all of them.
However, much has changed for the Madrid side this season as they’ve dropped points just once across tournaments. Can they launch a revenge this weekend in front of home fans? Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona predictions guide looks into the derby. You can also check out other La Liga predictions and stay informed about the Spanish top division.
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Match Information
- Competition: 25/26 Spanish La Liga, Round 10
- Venue: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
- Date: 26th October 2025
- Time: 15:15 GMT on Saturday
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Odds
Spanish sportsbooks have released the official Real Madrid vs Barcelona odds ahead of the upcoming El Clásico as follows:
- Real Madrid to Win @ 1.95 (19/20)
- Draw @ 4.10 (31/10)
- Barcelona to Win @ 3.30 (7/3)
RMA – BAR: H2H
Barcelona has won four of its previous five games against Madrid, leaving the Los Blancos with just one victory during that period.
- Barcelona 4-3 Real Madrid (11 May 2025)
- Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid (26 April 2025)
- Real Madrid 2-5 Barcelona (12 January 2025)
- Real Madrid 0-4 Barcelona (26 October 2024)
- Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona (21 April 2024)
Interesting Match Stats
- A win would extend Barcelona’s run to five consecutive victories over Real Madrid, matching their best-ever streak from the 2008–2010 Guardiola years.
- Mbappé’s strike rate against Barcelona reads 11 goals in eight matches overall, including a potent five goals in his four Clásicos.
- Real Madrid have won all their matches this season, except the local derby against Atletico.
Real Madrid Team Analysis
Xabi Alonso could hardly have imagined a better start to life as Real Madrid manager. His side has won every game except the 5-2 derby defeat to Atletico Madrid. Since that setback, Los Blancos have responded superbly, with Kylian Mbappe and Arda Guler driving their resurgence.
Back-to-back victories over Villarreal and Getafe have returned them to the league summit. They now hold a two-point lead over champions Barcelona. Real’s numbers underline their dominance: 20 goals scored and just nine conceded across nine matches. This kind of balance gives them a +11 goal difference.
Los Blancos’ form extends to Europe too, with a third consecutive Champions League win against Juventus on Wednesday. At home, Madrid remained flawless. They’ve won all four league games at the Bernabéu so far this season, fueling strong belief ahead of El Clásico.
Real Madrid Line-Up Prediction
Real Madrid’s defensive woes continue as David Alaba picked up an injury last weekend. He joined Antonio Rudiger and Dean Huijsen on the sidelines. However, Alonso hopes Trent Alexander-Arnold and Dani Carvajal return in time for the El Clásico.
Possible starting lineup: Courtois; Valverde, Militao, Tchouameni, Carreras; Bellingham, Camavinga; Mastantuono, Guler, Vinicius Jr; Mbappe.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-W-W-L
Barcelona Team Analysis
En route to clinching a historic domestic treble last season, Flick’s Barcelona enjoyed complete dominance over Real Madrid, winning all four encounters. They triumphed 4-0 and 4-3 in the league, 3-2 after extra time in the Copa del Rey final, and 5-2 in the Supercopa showdown.
Now, Barça could equal their longest-ever winning streak against Madrid in all competitions. They had previously achieved five consecutive Clásico victories under Pep Guardiola between 2008 and 2010. Currently two points behind Los Blancos, Barcelona’s last La Liga away outing ended in a 4-1 defeat at Sevilla. That was their first league loss on the road after 15 unbeaten trips (W11 D4).
However, since then, they’ve edged Girona 2-1 and crushed Olympiakos 6-1 in the UCL, courtesy of Lopez’s hat-trick. This recent performance breathed renewed confidence for the Blaugrana ahead of Sunday’s visit to the Bernabéu.
Barcelona Line Up Prediction
Barca will not have Flick in the dugout on Sunday after being sent off against Girona. Raphinha has recently returned to training and could feature. However, Gavi, Dani Olmo, Lewandowski, Joan Garcia, and Marc-André ter Stegen remain sidelined.
Possible starting lineup: Szczesny; Kounde, Cubarsi, Garcia, Balde; Casado, De Jong, Pedri; Yamal, Rashford, Lopez.
Last 5 Matches: W-W-L-L-W
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Betting Tips & Predictions
The following are the most viable betting picks for the Real Madrid vs Barcelona match after a careful statistical and form analysis:
- Real Madrid To Win @ 1.95 (19/20) — The gap between the two teams last season was significant, but Madrid looks quite a bit better than last season. Real Madrid’s perfect home record and superior overall form make a home victory compelling. Alonzo boys boast 11 victories from all tournaments, 12 games played so far. Conversely, Barca have lost twice and drawn once so far during the same period. Injuries have also taken a toll on the visitors, with several key players missing this clash, including two first-choice goalkeepers and their boss. This grants Madrid the perfect opportunity to take their revenge and claim all points on Sunday.
- Total Goals — Over 3.5 @ 1.72 (3/4) – Given both teams’ attacking prowess, a high-scoring encounter looks highly probable. Real Madrid have scored 20 goals in nine league matches while conceding nine. Similarly, Barcelona boasts an even stronger attacking record with 24 goals scored and 10 conceded. This put Madrid’s average on 2.22 goals per match, while Barcelona stood at 2.67. Notably, their past six meetings have all produced over 3.5 goals. Therefore, this weekend’s El Clásico is expected to follow the same trend, with a result exceeding three goals very likely.
- Lamine Yamal to Score @ 2.25 (5/4) – Yamal is central to Barcelona’s dominance in last season’s El Clásicos and treble success. He contributed 18 goals across all competitions. The teenage sensation has already netted twice in five La Liga starts this season. Remarkably, he has scored four goals and provided two assists in four Clásicos last term. Expect the youngster to find the net again this weekend.
Final Thoughts & Recommended Picks
Madrid’s home advantage and superior form make them favorites to win El Clásico and extend their lead at the top of La Liga. Here are our recommended Real Madrid vs Barcelona predictions.
✅ Real Madrid To Win @ 1.95 (19/20)
✅ Lamine Yamal to Score @ 2.25 (5/4)
